Short-Term Tariff Cut Fuels Long-Term Uncertainty as U.S. Small Businesses Stall Growth Plans

Short-Term Tariff Cut Fuels Long-Term Uncertainty as U.S. Small Businesses Stall Growth Plans
Short-Term Tariff Cut Fuels Long-Term Uncertainty as U.S. Small Businesses Stall Growth Plans
The recent reduction of tariffs on Chinese imports from 145% to 30% has offered temporary relief to U.S. small business owners, but the short 90-day duration of the deal has left many feeling more anxious than secure. Connor Alexander, a Seattle-based board game publisher, is among those feeling the pressure. Despite restarting production on two long-delayed games, he worries the tariffs could spike again before his products arrive in the U.S., putting his entire business at risk. For Alexander, the reprieve is less of a solution and more of a ticking clock.

Short Tariff Window Disrupts Production Plans, Forcing Businesses Into Costly Uncertain Strategies

Many business owners are struggling to align their production timelines with the temporary tariff reduction. Products that take months to manufacture and ship, like Alexander’s board games and Haley Pavone’s convertible heels, are unlikely to make it to the U.S. before the 90-day window closes. Pavone expressed mixed emotions over the deal, calling it both a relief and a frustration, as the short duration offers no time for significant adjustments or stockpiling. Like others, she continues to play it safe, unsure of future costs.

Short-Term Tariff Cut Fuels Long-Term Uncertainty as U.S. Small Businesses Stall Growth Plans
Short-Term Tariff Cut Fuels Long-Term Uncertainty as U.S. Small Businesses Stall Growth Plans

In response to the 145% tariffs, some businesses shifted away from Chinese suppliers, but this hasn’t proven to be a sustainable or affordable solution. Hugo Ramirez, owner of Frio Mexican Treats in Wisconsin, turned to U.S. manufacturers but found their materials more expensive and less tailored to his needs. Now that tariffs are temporarily lower, he’s reconsidering imports—but remains wary of the volatility. The unpredictability makes long-term planning nearly impossible, forcing many to adopt a wait-and-see approach.

Short-Term Tariff Relief Sparks Uncertainty, Halts Growth, and Disrupts Business Planning Nationwide

With pricing and tax implications up in the air, business owners are struggling to manage both their operations and customer expectations. Alexander anticipates raising prices on his games, but can’t confirm figures until shipments arrive. Pavone has already begun passing costs to consumers by itemizing tariff-related charges on U.S. orders. The lack of clarity means businesses are budgeting blindly, with little faith in stability beyond the 90-day window, especially as policy changes, like the closure of the de minimis loophole, further complicate matters.

The economic uncertainty has also halted expansion plans across the board. Pavone had to rescind a job offer due to financial unpredictability, while Ramirez has paused any thoughts of growing his operations, unwilling to invest in new Chinese machinery without tariff clarity. Jessica Kim of Mycha LA/Chicago described the situation as gambling, carefully timing shipments to avoid peak tariffs. While these entrepreneurs remain solution-oriented, the consensus is clear: the short-term tariff deal offers little reassurance for long-term growth.